Will human labor ultimately be limited to growing machine learning models?
In the end, will human labor only be about growing machine learning models? Question about Decartography
The answer in the AI era is, "Money doesn't trickle down, but the effects of machine learning models created by pouring in money and information do trickle down."
Humans serve as dedicated translators, inputting human world perception into the software world.
We are raising the "giant" called AI, born from collective knowledge.
Regarding the question of whether human labor will only be about growing machine learning models, I think it will attract uninteresting answers like "it won't be only about that." Just like how postcards haven't disappeared even though email is more convenient, it is difficult to reduce most things to 0%. So the answer of whether it will be reduced to 0% is likely to be true with high probability, but it lacks information. The income of people working for machine learning models increases as the degree to which the models generate money increases. I think we are currently in an era where that is the case, but when it reaches a state where working for machine learning models is much more profitable than working for humans, is there value in that "profit"? Money may become a very weak asset. Although this may be a bit of a leap in the conversation, I just wanted to write it down for now.
The definition of "Labor" depends on how we define it, and fundamentally, it is about AGI achievement (Human labor) by growing machine learning models. So, I think the title is generally correct. Rather, I think it is more about Aiming for a Gentle Transition to Post-AGI Socialism by Soft Landing the Current Capitalism, and More Technical Talk is Needed for that purpose. nishio
This is extremely important, and even on Twitter, I see discussions mainly about the "present" and the "goal," but in reality, the transitional period is hell, so how do we overcome that? It's like thinking about how to survive that. If we can achieve it, well, it's utopia. kawahiii
I completely agree, and it seems that OpenAI is currently considering AI alignment. kawahiii
I strongly feel that (as the Japanese government, which I know best) the Japanese Government is not well-prepared for this. tkgshn
There is a time lag between the collapse of the labor market and the price reduction of groceries, so personally, I think this is a critical issue. As someone involved in local communities, I feel that we can work on addressing this. kawahiii
Modern Luddite Movement and Proletarian Revolution. kawahiii
And how can we implement UBI? kawahiii
Regarding this, something similar to UBI is already being implemented as Social Security in Japan and Free education in Europe. tkgshn
When interpreting it within the framework of a large Social Security, the problem becomes "How to Tax (Capital)," and the direction of "Tax assets, not labor" is also a hypothesis proposed by Sam Altman based on Moore's Law for Everything. tkgshn
And if we don't use the function of Knowledge Transfer for Newcomer: How to Find a Mention in Scrapbox, I won't be able to recognize what nishio wrote! 🙏