Possible futures of the Ethereum protocol
Metaculusは現在、誤差の幅はあるものの、量子コンピューターが2030年代には暗号を破り始めるだろうと考えている: ■ The Merge: key goals
Single slot finality
Transaction confirmation and finalization as fast as possible, while preserving decentralization
Improve staking viability for solo stakers
Improve robustness
Improve Ethereum's ability to resist and recover from 51% attacks (including finality reversion, finality blocking, and censorship)
■ The Surge: key goals
100,000+ TPS on L1+L2
Preserve decentralization and robustness of L1
At least some L2s fully inherit Ethereum's core properties (trustless, open, censorship resistant)
Maximum interoperability between L2s. Ethereum should feel like one ecosystem, not 34 different blockchains.
https://scrapbox.io/files/67161cb959da608c3def2bf0.png
■ The Scourge
Minimize centralization risks at Ethereum's staking layer (notably, in block construction and capital provision, aka. MEV and staking pools)
Minimize risks of excessive value extraction from users